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In its first three months as a telecom pureplay in years,
AT&T
confirmed massive subscriber progress from the year-ago interval however fell flat on its free money movement era. That wasn’t positively acquired by the corporate’s dividend-focused shareholder base.
Elsewhere, the new-look AT&T (ticker: T)added extra wi-fi and fiber subscribers than anticipated, paid down debt, and continued to put money into fiber and 5G—whereas starting to really feel the affect of a slowing financial system.
AT&T inventory was down about 10% in buying and selling on Thursday.
AT&T reported second-quarter adjusted earnings per share of 65 cents, forward of the analyst consensus estimate of 61 cents. Together with
WarnerMedia
,
AT&T earned 73 cents in the identical quarter final yr, whereas stand-alone AT&T earned 64 cents per share.
Income got here in at $29.6 billion, barely forward of analysts’ common estimate. That was down 33% yr over yr, reflecting the shedding of WarnerMedia, or up 2.2% when excluding that now-divested unit from the year-ago interval.
AT&T’s adjusted earnings earlier than curiosity, taxes, depreciation, and amortization—or Ebitda—have been $10.3 billion, about $100 million wanting consensus however up by about $175 million from stand-alone AT&T’s year-ago interval.
Free money movement was poor: AT&T introduced in $1.4 billion within the second quarter, versus analysts’ common estimate of $4.7 billion. Citing the impacts of funding extra working capital and better subscriber progress, administration decreased its free money movement steerage for the total yr, to $14 billion from $16 billion beforehand. That can require AT&T producing greater than $5 billion in free money movement in each the third and fourth quarters of 2022. Administration has a goal of $20 billion in free money movement in all of 2023.
On the subscriber entrance, AT&T reported postpaid web additions—an all-important metric for wi-fi firms that refers to prospects who pay a month-to-month invoice—of just about 1.1 million, together with 813,000 telephones. The Wall Road consensus had been for postpaid web additions of about 546,000, together with 400,000 telephones.
That subscriber progress helped enhance AT&T’s Mobility phase income 5.2% yr over yr, to $19.9 billion—topping consensus by $300 million. That included a 4.6% enhance in service income, that are most vital as a result of they’re high-margin and are usually recurring, versus gross sales of smartphones or different one-time prices. AT&T administration now expects 2022 service income progress to be between 4.5% and 5%, up from earlier steerage of not less than 3% progress.
AT&T additionally added a web 316,000 fiber subscribers within the second quarter, to achieve 6.6 million complete, topping the 294,000 common estimate from analysts. Its Client Wireline phase income was up 1.1% from a yr earlier, to $3.2 billion. Enterprise Wireline did worse: Income was down 7.6% yr over yr, to $5.6 billion. That contributed to the shortfall in free money movement within the quarter, and is an indication of rockier financial occasions.
On Thursday earnings name, AT&T CEO John Stankey emphasised the stickiness of AT&T’s merchandise—recession or not folks can be loath to cancel their cellphone or dwelling web providers. That stated, AT&T is starting to really feel the affect of a slowing financial system.
“The present atmosphere is just not straightforward to foretell,” Stankey stated. “We’re seeing extra strain on enterprise wireline than anticipated and on the buyer aspect of our enterprise, we’re seeing a rise in dangerous debt to barely greater than pre-pandemic ranges in addition to prolonged money assortment cycles.”
That gained’t affect AT&T’s funding plans, nonetheless. The corporate intends to spend roughly $24 billion this yr on constructing out its 5G and fiber networks.
“We’re assured we are able to keep our focus for progress over the long-term by investing in the way forward for connectivity by means of 5G and fiber,” Stankey stated. “It’s our perception that near-term cyclical financial uncertainty doesn’t warrant a retrenchment within the deployment of long-lived property.”
AT&T inventory has returned 16% together with dividends yr up to now, versus a virtually 17% loss for the
S&P 500.
A lot of that outperformance has come since early April, when the telecom big accomplished a derivative of WarnerMedia—which subsequently merged with Discovery to create Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD)—and refocused on the telecom enterprise. The corporate is investing to construct out a nationwide 5G wi-fi community and lengthen its wired fiberoptic community to extra places.
AT&T inventory has a dividend yield of 5.4% and a market capitalization of $147 billion.
Verizon Communications
(VZ) is scheduled to report its second-quarter outcomes on Friday. Its inventory has misplaced 2% after dividends in 2022.
T-Cellular
US (
TMUS
) studies subsequent Wednesday. Its shares are up 18.5% this yr.
Write to Nicholas Jasinski at nicholas.jasinski@barrons.com
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